Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.5%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 49.5% vs Larkin 49.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 68.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.5%
Neutral zone
Point 53.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Point
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Point
Larkin
Last 10: Point 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Point
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
5
Point
Larkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (411)
49.5% (562)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.5% (101)
51.5% (134)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
41.2% (34)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Point has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Point is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Point shoots right. Larkin is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Point
Larkin
Home
51.1% (268)
48.5% (388)
Away
47.6% (252)
50.6% (342)
By Period
Point
Larkin
P1
46.4%
52.1%
P2
56.5%
46.9%
P3
45.3%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
49.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Brayden Point |