Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Larkin 54.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 88.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Point
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Point
Larkin
Last 9: Point 7-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
53.6% (886)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
59.3% (317)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.7% (152)
+1.3%
On even strength, Larkin has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Point
Larkin
Home
53.3% (394)
56.6% (700)
Away
48.4% (428)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Point
Larkin
P1
49.8%
55.4%
P2
53.0%
54.7%
P3
49.6%
52.7%
OT
44.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Brayden Point |