Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Larkin 54.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 60.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 61.2%
Neutral zone
Point 56.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Point
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Point
Larkin
Last 7: Point 4-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Point
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Point
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
52.6% (1,117)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
60.7% (305)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
55.9% (177)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Point has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Point
Larkin
Home
49.7% (471)
54.7% (783)
Away
47.2% (415)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Point
Larkin
P1
46.6%
55.9%
P2
51.7%
56.1%
P3
46.5%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |