Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Larkin 52.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 74.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 62.7%
Neutral zone
Point 55.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Point
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Point
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Point
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
51.7% (878)
-5.5%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
58.5% (246)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.2% (166)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Point
Larkin
Home
46.9% (243)
52.4% (647)
Away
46.4% (302)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Point
Larkin
P1
46.2%
52.2%
P2
45.9%
53.1%
P3
48.9%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Brayden Point |