Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Larkin 52.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 70.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.9%
Neutral zone
Point 58.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Point
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
Larkin
Last 5: Point 1-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Point
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Point
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
51.8% (903)
-3.5%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
56.0% (225)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.4% (76)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Point
Larkin
Home
47.5% (356)
55.6% (662)
Away
54.6% (361)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Point
Larkin
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
54.5%
52.7%
P3
48.9%
53.0%
OT
42.9%
68.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |