Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Tavares 59.8% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 72.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 76.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Point
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Point
Tavares
Last 5: Point 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
60.9% (1,043)
-12.6%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
60.4% (278)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.6% (21)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Point
Tavares
Home
47.5% (356)
63.5% (684)
Away
54.6% (361)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Point
Tavares
P1
50.0%
60.3%
P2
54.5%
60.4%
P3
48.9%
60.1%
OT
42.9%
92.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |