Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Tavares 57.2% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 88.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 91.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.6%
12.4%
87.6%
Point
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Point
Tavares
Last 9: Point 7-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
58.0% (914)
-11.8%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
57.0% (235)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
57.9% (19)
-37.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Point
Tavares
Home
46.9% (243)
57.8% (614)
Away
46.4% (302)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Point
Tavares
P1
46.2%
58.0%
P2
45.9%
56.9%
P3
48.9%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brayden Point |