Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 54.2%
Defensive zone
Point 54.4%
Neutral zone
Point 54.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Point
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Point
Tavares
Last 6: Point 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Point
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Point
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
57.7% (998)
-9.9%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
60.5% (271)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
56.4% (39)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Point
Tavares
Home
49.7% (471)
59.7% (610)
Away
47.2% (415)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Point
Tavares
P1
46.6%
57.2%
P2
51.7%
58.5%
P3
46.5%
59.4%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |