Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 50.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Point
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Point
Tavares
Last 9: Point 4-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Point
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Point
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
57.5% (914)
-7.6%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
60.5% (309)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Point
Tavares
Home
53.3% (394)
61.0% (661)
Away
48.4% (428)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Point
Tavares
P1
49.8%
58.6%
P2
53.0%
57.8%
P3
49.6%
58.4%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |