Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 66-65 in 131 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 52.0%
Defensive zone
Point 50.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Point
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
66
(131 meetings)
65
66
Point
Tavares
Last 10: Point 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
29
20
Point
Tavares
49 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
15
19
Point
Tavares
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
21
27
Point
Tavares
48 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
54.0% (16,108)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
56.5% (4,283)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
50.6% (620)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Point
Tavares
Home
49.1% (3,733)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Point
Tavares
P1
46.8%
55.0%
P2
51.4%
54.1%
P3
48.0%
54.1%
OT
52.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Brayden Point |