Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Tavares 58.7% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 61.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.2%
Neutral zone
Point 52.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Point
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Point
Tavares
Last 10: Point 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
5
Point
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Point
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
5
4
Point
Tavares
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
59.2% (1,035)
-13.3%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
60.0% (310)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
42.9% (7)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Point
Tavares
Home
45.8% (286)
57.5% (668)
Away
45.5% (358)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Point
Tavares
P1
45.9%
58.0%
P2
48.8%
60.1%
P3
40.6%
61.0%
OT
62.5%
27.8%
Final 5 min
40.7%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |