Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.8%). Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Evans 49.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 65.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 63.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Schenn
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Schenn
Evans
Last 6: Schenn 3-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Schenn
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
51.3% (739)
-2.6%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
53.3% (15)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
43.0% (172)
-3.0%
On power play, Schenn has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Schenn
Evans
Home
49.0% (286)
52.1% (503)
Away
49.1% (293)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Schenn
Evans
P1
47.7%
50.5%
P2
48.7%
47.7%
P3
51.4%
51.3%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |