Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Evans 52.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 57.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 67.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Schenn
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schenn
Evans
Last 7: Schenn 5-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
54.4% (807)
-6.8%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
55.0% (20)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
46.1% (310)
+1.6%
On even strength, Evans has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Schenn
Evans
Home
55.6% (453)
53.7% (581)
Away
43.3% (467)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Schenn
Evans
P1
48.4%
54.6%
P2
50.3%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
52.3%
OT
22.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |