Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.9%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Evans 52.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 75.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Schenn
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Schenn
Evans
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
4
Schenn
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
54.4% (824)
-2.2%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
66.7% (9)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
48.1% (289)
+9.3%
On power play, Evans has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Schenn
Evans
Home
51.1% (575)
55.1% (541)
Away
53.4% (607)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Schenn
Evans
P1
51.4%
51.8%
P2
52.7%
53.3%
P3
52.7%
53.8%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |