Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 74.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Schenn
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
18
(39 meetings)
21
18
Schenn
Evans
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
6
4
Schenn
Evans
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
6
9
Schenn
Evans
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
9
5
Schenn
Evans
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
53.8% (3,695)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
60.0% (70)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
47.1% (1,222)
+1.4%
On power play, Evans has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Schenn
Evans
Home
49.7% (5,030)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Schenn
Evans
P1
48.7%
54.0%
P2
48.6%
50.9%
P3
48.3%
52.0%
OT
50.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jake Evans |