Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Evans 51.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 74.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 65.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Schenn
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schenn
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Schenn
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
54.5% (483)
-8.9%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
58.3% (12)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
43.9% (155)
+2.2%
On even strength, Evans has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Schenn
Evans
Home
46.8% (494)
49.4% (336)
Away
46.3% (520)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Schenn
Evans
P1
50.3%
55.8%
P2
47.0%
51.7%
P3
42.2%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |