Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.1% vs Duchene 55.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 89.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 64.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 84.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 85.6%
14.4%
85.6%
Schenn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schenn
Duchene
Last 6: Schenn 5-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (649)
56.0% (579)
-6.4%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
59.3% (108)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
25.0% (8)
+8.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schenn is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Schenn shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Schenn
Duchene
Home
50.5% (333)
54.9% (375)
Away
47.8% (381)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Schenn
Duchene
P1
48.3%
58.3%
P2
52.2%
56.7%
P3
46.5%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |