Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 70.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 60.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Schenn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schenn
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
53.9% (193)
-8.3%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
49.2% (65)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
100.0% (1)
-53.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +53.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Schenn
Duchene
Home
46.8% (494)
54.9% (113)
Away
46.3% (520)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Schenn
Duchene
P1
50.3%
54.9%
P2
47.0%
52.7%
P3
42.2%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |