Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Duchene 52.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.1%
Defensive zone
Schenn 75.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Schenn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schenn
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
46.9% (162)
+1.8%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
73.2% (56)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
100.0% (2)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Schenn
Duchene
Home
49.0% (286)
58.4% (125)
Away
49.1% (293)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Schenn
Duchene
P1
47.7%
56.9%
P2
48.7%
52.5%
P3
51.4%
51.9%
OT
25.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |