Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Duchene 54.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 32-31 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 59.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Schenn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
31
(63 meetings)
32
31
Schenn
Duchene
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
11
6
Schenn
Duchene
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
13
Schenn
Duchene
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
13
12
Schenn
Duchene
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
53.9% (10,396)
-5.9%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
56.9% (1,665)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
49.1% (468)
-0.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Schenn
Duchene
Home
49.7% (5,030)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Schenn
Duchene
P1
48.7%
54.5%
P2
48.6%
54.5%
P3
48.3%
53.4%
OT
50.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 17, 2024 | OT | 04:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |