Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Duchene 51.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 57.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 63.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Schenn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Duchene
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
51.2% (324)
+0.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
60.4% (53)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
16.7% (6)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Schenn
Duchene
Home
54.0% (367)
51.6% (182)
Away
53.3% (375)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Schenn
Duchene
P1
48.6%
49.6%
P2
52.0%
56.2%
P3
59.0%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |