Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Duchene 55.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 53.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 60.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Schenn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Schenn
Duchene
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Schenn
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Schenn
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
56.5% (566)
-8.9%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
61.3% (62)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
22.2% (9)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Schenn
Duchene
Home
55.6% (453)
56.6% (318)
Away
43.3% (467)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Schenn
Duchene
P1
48.4%
57.2%
P2
50.3%
55.1%
P3
50.8%
55.6%
OT
22.2%
81.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | OT | 04:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2023 | OT | 04:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |