Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.4%). Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Duchene 52.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 51.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Schenn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Schenn
Duchene
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
3
Schenn
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Schenn
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
53.0% (723)
-0.8%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
49.5% (101)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
43.8% (16)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Schenn
Duchene
Home
51.1% (575)
54.9% (408)
Away
53.4% (607)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Schenn
Duchene
P1
51.4%
52.5%
P2
52.7%
51.7%
P3
52.7%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |