Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.1% vs Hertl 54.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 89.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 77.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
Schenn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
Hertl
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (649)
54.7% (570)
-5.1%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
55.2% (143)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
54.5% (77)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Schenn is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Schenn shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Schenn
Hertl
Home
50.5% (333)
56.2% (379)
Away
47.8% (381)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Schenn
Hertl
P1
48.3%
53.4%
P2
52.2%
52.7%
P3
46.5%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |