Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 88.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 88.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 81.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Schenn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Schenn
Hertl
Last 10: Schenn 1-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
9
Schenn
Hertl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Schenn
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
54.1% (1,117)
-8.5%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
59.8% (296)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
34.4% (32)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Schenn
Hertl
Home
46.8% (494)
54.3% (709)
Away
46.3% (520)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Schenn
Hertl
P1
50.3%
51.6%
P2
47.0%
53.6%
P3
42.2%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |