Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 78.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 76.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Schenn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Schenn
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Schenn
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
57.0% (718)
-9.4%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
64.9% (188)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
44.2% (77)
+3.5%
On even strength, Hertl has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Schenn
Hertl
Home
55.6% (453)
59.2% (463)
Away
43.3% (467)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Schenn
Hertl
P1
48.4%
56.3%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
50.8%
60.5%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |