Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs McDavid 53.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 78.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 62.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Howden
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Howden
McDavid
Last 5: Howden 3-2 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Howden
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
McDavid
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
54.3% (1,002)
-5.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
44.8% (29)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
33.3% (15)
+4.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Howden is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Howden shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Howden
McDavid
Home
52.6% (173)
53.6% (507)
Away
41.5% (118)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Howden
McDavid
P1
51.6%
52.6%
P2
37.1%
54.1%
P3
55.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |