Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.9%). Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs McDavid 51.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 54.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Howden
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Howden
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
51.5% (889)
+1.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
63.9% (36)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
51.2% (86)
-31.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Howden
McDavid
Home
55.2% (96)
50.7% (513)
Away
48.9% (131)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Howden
McDavid
P1
42.0%
52.3%
P2
55.8%
51.6%
P3
55.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |