Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs McDavid 51.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Howden
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Howden
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
51.6% (803)
-4.3%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
50.0% (40)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
36.4% (22)
-10.5%
On power play, McDavid has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Howden
McDavid
Home
44.3% (176)
51.8% (415)
Away
45.8% (190)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Howden
McDavid
P1
43.1%
47.5%
P2
43.1%
51.6%
P3
48.1%
55.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |