Brett Howden vs Connor McDavid

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brett Howden holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Howden 49.0% vs McDavid 47.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor Howden leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 65.2%
Defensive zone Howden 61.2%
Neutral zone Howden 53.2%
Result Brett Howden favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Howden McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 6 (13 meetings)
7
6
Howden McDavid
Last 10: Howden 5-5 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
3
Howden McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden McDavid
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden McDavid
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Howden
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
47.7% (8,358)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
52.0% (371)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
43.4% (279)
-0.2%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Howden
McDavid
Home
48.4% (1,608)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Howden
McDavid
P1
49.5%
46.5%
P2
48.0%
48.7%
P3
49.9%
48.3%
OT
39.3%
40.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%
46.5%
49.0%
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 21, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Brett Howden
Dec 21, 2025 2 12:59 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 21, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Brett Howden
Dec 21, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Brett Howden
Nov 28, 2023 3 00:32 Defensive Brett Howden
Nov 28, 2023 1 17:58 Defensive Connor McDavid
Nov 19, 2022 2 04:33 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 8, 2022 2 06:22 Defensive Connor McDavid
Nov 27, 2021 3 02:44 Defensive Brett Howden
Nov 27, 2021 2 15:29 Offensive Connor McDavid
Oct 22, 2021 3 07:23 Defensive Brett Howden
Oct 22, 2021 1 05:13 Defensive Brett Howden
Mar 11, 2019 1 07:21 Offensive Connor McDavid