Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs McDavid 47.9% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 61.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 52.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Howden
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
47.7% (715)
+5.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
51.9% (52)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
22.2% (9)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Howden
McDavid
Home
48.8% (258)
47.3% (387)
Away
56.6% (258)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Howden
McDavid
P1
54.0%
47.6%
P2
53.2%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%