Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Lazar 49.0% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 59.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Nelson
Lazar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
48.7% (302)
-2.6%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
44.4% (9)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
50.0% (54)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lazar
Home
48.7% (419)
49.2% (189)
Away
41.3% (368)
48.3% (176)
By Period
Nelson
Lazar
P1
44.6%
50.8%
P2
47.3%
45.2%
P3
43.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%