Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Lazar 58.1% (-10.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 61.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Nelson
Lazar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
63.8% (174)
-13.1%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
0.0% (1)
+58.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
56.3% (71)
-12.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lazar
Home
52.3% (621)
63.3% (128)
Away
48.9% (618)
59.3% (118)
By Period
Nelson
Lazar
P1
48.4%
64.6%
P2
53.5%
60.5%
P3
50.3%
59.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
68.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%