Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Lindholm 52.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 50.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 71.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Nelson
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nelson
Lindholm
Last 7: Nelson 4-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Lindholm
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Nelson
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
52.4% (1,156)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
59.6% (198)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
49.6% (238)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lindholm
Home
49.8% (458)
52.3% (771)
Away
49.0% (506)
53.5% (821)
By Period
Nelson
Lindholm
P1
50.1%
50.7%
P2
45.4%
55.3%
P3
52.7%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
29.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |