Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Lindholm 55.9% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 62.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 57.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Nelson
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Nelson
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
57.3% (944)
-11.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
61.1% (162)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
49.1% (230)
-18.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lindholm
Home
48.7% (419)
55.2% (667)
Away
41.3% (368)
57.5% (669)
By Period
Nelson
Lindholm
P1
44.6%
54.7%
P2
47.3%
55.5%
P3
43.0%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
39.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |