Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Haula 53.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 53.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Nelson
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Nelson
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
52.7% (734)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
71.4% (49)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
52.2% (23)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Haula is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Nelson
Haula
Home
49.8% (458)
54.0% (404)
Away
49.0% (506)
53.7% (402)
By Period
Nelson
Haula
P1
50.1%
50.8%
P2
45.4%
55.0%
P3
52.7%
55.1%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |