Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Haula 54.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 65.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 71.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 52.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Nelson
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nelson
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
57.6% (684)
-11.5%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
46.0% (63)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
45.5% (145)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Nelson
Haula
Home
48.7% (419)
56.3% (449)
Away
41.3% (368)
53.3% (443)
By Period
Nelson
Haula
P1
44.6%
58.4%
P2
47.3%
54.9%
P3
43.0%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |