Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Haula 53.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 74.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Nelson
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Nelson
Haula
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
3
Nelson
Haula
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Haula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
2
Nelson
Haula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
54.5% (881)
-7.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
68.4% (57)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
45.4% (119)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Nelson
Haula
Home
48.9% (521)
55.4% (520)
Away
45.5% (516)
53.1% (537)
By Period
Nelson
Haula
P1
45.9%
56.5%
P2
48.0%
53.3%
P3
48.0%
53.8%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Erik Haula |