Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.6%). Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Haula 52.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 60.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Nelson
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nelson
Haula
Last 7: Nelson 4-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Haula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Nelson
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
52.9% (612)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
56.3% (32)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
48.0% (75)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Nelson
Haula
Home
52.5% (590)
54.2% (345)
Away
51.7% (619)
51.1% (374)
By Period
Nelson
Haula
P1
50.5%
55.8%
P2
54.4%
48.0%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
47.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |