Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Haula 52.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 54.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Nelson
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
23
(45 meetings)
22
23
Nelson
Haula
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
8
Nelson
Haula
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
6
Nelson
Haula
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
9
Nelson
Haula
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
52.9% (7,683)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
57.5% (603)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
43.5% (791)
+0.3%
On even strength, Haula has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Home / Away
Nelson
Haula
Home
50.0% (5,845)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Nelson
Haula
P1
48.7%
53.2%
P2
48.5%
51.4%
P3
47.7%
52.7%
OT
45.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |