Brock Nelson vs Frederick Gaudreau
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nelson wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Gaudreau 52.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 55.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Nelson
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Nelson
Gaudreau
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Gaudreau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
3
Nelson
Gaudreau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
3
Nelson
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
54.2% (118)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
100.0% (2)
-48.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
50.0% (42)
+7.5%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Nelson is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Nelson shoots left. Gaudreau is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gaudreau
Home
55.0% (362)
50.0% (64)
Away
43.5% (345)
56.1% (98)
By Period
Nelson
Gaudreau
P1
49.3%
61.7%
P2
53.6%
50.9%
P3
46.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |