Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Compher 51.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 65.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 70.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 59.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Nelson
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Compher
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
4
Nelson
Compher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
52.2% (471)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
65.6% (61)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
41.6% (125)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Nelson
Compher
Home
49.8% (458)
54.4% (362)
Away
49.0% (506)
47.8% (295)
By Period
Nelson
Compher
P1
50.1%
49.6%
P2
45.4%
53.6%
P3
52.7%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |