Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Hayes 44.1% (+11.6%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Nelson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
33.3% (81)
+16.7%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
64.3% (14)
-8.0%
On even strength, Nelson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nelson shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hayes
Home
50.4% (472)
30.6% (49)
Away
48.6% (477)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Nelson
Hayes
P1
47.2%
24.2%
P2
53.4%
43.8%
P3
47.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%