Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Reichel 45.2% (+14.6%)
Offensive zone
Reichel 50.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Nelson
Reichel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
35.6% (45)
+14.3%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
0.0% (1)
+52.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Reichel is 25.8% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Nelson
Reichel
Home
49.8% (458)
34.1% (44)
Away
49.0% (506)
50.0% (2)
By Period
Nelson
Reichel
P1
50.1%
43.8%
P2
45.4%
27.8%
P3
52.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
34.8%