Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Reichel 42.1% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 83.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 75.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Nelson
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Reichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
39.1% (327)
+12.2%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
50.0% (28)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
0.0% (1)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Reichel is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Nelson
Reichel
Home
52.5% (590)
43.7% (206)
Away
51.7% (619)
34.7% (150)
By Period
Nelson
Reichel
P1
50.5%
35.5%
P2
54.4%
39.5%
P3
51.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
35.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |