Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Reichel 44.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 87.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 92.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 89.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Nelson
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Nelson
Reichel
Last 7: Nelson 6-1 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Reichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Reichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Reichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
39.7% (116)
+11.0%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
0.0% (1)
+58.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Reichel is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Nelson
Reichel
Home
52.3% (621)
35.2% (71)
Away
48.9% (618)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Nelson
Reichel
P1
48.4%
56.8%
P2
53.5%
33.3%
P3
50.3%
29.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |