Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Reichel 48.7% (+8.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 63.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Nelson
Reichel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
40.0% (10)
+6.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
50.0% (2)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Reichel is 20.0% vs left-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Nelson
Reichel
Home
48.9% (521)
25.0% (8)
Away
45.5% (516)
60.0% (5)
By Period
Nelson
Reichel
P1
45.9%
0.0%
P2
48.0%
42.9%
P3
48.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
38.5%