Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Reichel 45.6% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Nelson
Reichel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
43.5% (170)
+2.6%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
50.0% (24)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
0.0% (4)
+30.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Reichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Nelson
Reichel
Home
48.7% (419)
45.7% (81)
Away
41.3% (368)
41.9% (117)
By Period
Nelson
Reichel
P1
44.6%
48.4%
P2
47.3%
34.3%
P3
43.0%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
43.4%