Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.7% vs 43.5%). Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nelson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs Scheifele 43.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 56.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Nelson
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Nelson
Scheifele
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Nelson
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
5
Nelson
Scheifele
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
43.9% (1,136)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
43.0% (237)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
38.6% (88)
+5.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Nelson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Nelson shoots left. Scheifele is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Nelson
Scheifele
Home
41.9% (391)
45.3% (739)
Away
45.5% (400)
41.6% (722)
By Period
Nelson
Scheifele
P1
47.1%
45.6%
P2
43.0%
42.6%
P3
40.9%
42.8%
OT
63.6%
26.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |