Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Scheifele 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Nelson
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nelson
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
49.3% (649)
+0.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
55.7% (183)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
50.0% (16)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Nelson
Scheifele
Home
49.8% (458)
52.3% (440)
Away
49.0% (506)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Nelson
Scheifele
P1
50.1%
52.3%
P2
45.4%
50.4%
P3
52.7%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |